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奥本海默公司称,由于激励成本上升,D.R. Horton面临利润率和销量双重压力。

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-- 奥本海默公司周四发布的一份报告称,由于激励成本上升和宏观经济逆风影响其前景,D.R. Horton (DHI) 可能面临短期盈利压力和销量下滑。 奥本海默在第二财季前下调了预期,理由是预计下半年利润率将承压,且2026财年房屋成交量预期下调。报告称,截至3月底,需求“保持稳定”,这意味着业绩可能与公司预期相符。 奥本海默表示,由于“高企的抵押贷款利率”持续推动促销活动,预计第三季度毛利率将环比下降,与华尔街预期的小幅增长背道而驰。报告指出,即使激励措施保持“平稳”,由于包括“地块成本上涨”在内的成本压力持续存在,利润率也可能下降。 如果公司在需求疲软和社区增长放缓的情况下优先考虑“利润率而非速度”,则房屋成交量可能低于预期,尽管较低的库存水平可能会使D.R. Horton的业绩有所改善。报告称,霍顿公司在管理销量和维持利润率方面具有灵活性。 报告还指出,由于其“对利率敏感的客户群”、有限的买家多样性以及租赁业务的波动性,霍顿公司的风险回报状况“吸引力较低”。 奥本海默公司对霍顿公司股票的评级为“与大盘持平”。 第二季度业绩将于周二公布。

Price: $144.89, Change: $+0.69, Percent Change: +0.48%

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