-- 周二,多伦多证券交易所收跌,连续第四个交易日下跌,原因是市场对结束伊朗战争达成协议的希望逐渐破灭。与此同时,投资者正等待联邦政府发布春季经济报告,以了解短期和中期财政赤字的预期。 尽管多数板块上涨,其中能源板块领涨,涨幅达2.4%,受油价上涨提振,但S&P/TSX综合指数仍下跌233.85点,跌幅0.69%,收于33,584.34点。然而,跌幅最大的板块却是信息技术板块(下跌4.4%)和基本金属板块(下跌3.6%),金价下跌加剧了它们的颓势。 据FactSet数据显示,截至今日开盘,TSX指数较前三个交易日累计下跌136.92点,跌幅0.40%。但本月迄今累计上涨3.20%,年初至今累计上涨2,105.43点,涨幅6.64%。 加拿大联邦政府将于周二下午4点(美国东部时间)股市收盘时发布财政报告。蒙特利尔银行在早间报告中表示,将期待这份报告显示赤字数据“好于预期”。 BMO资本市场高级经济学家罗伯特·卡夫西奇表示:“与此次更新前对2026/27财年654亿加元赤字的预估相比,财政状况似乎存在一些好转空间。在石油危机爆发之前,财政状况明显好于预期。4月至次年2月期间(即本财年的前11个月),赤字为255亿加元,仅比上年同期的192亿加元略高。虽然年终调整幅度可能较大,但与2025/26财年预计的783亿加元赤字相比,似乎也存在显著的改善空间,而这一赤字可能会延续到下一个财年。三大主要组成部分均好于预算预期:收入小幅增长(而非预期下降),利息支出略有下降(而非预期小幅上升),项目支出低于预算中近7%的增幅。 “正是由于这些额外的空间,渥太华才在此次更新前积极推出了一些新措施。”其中包括暂时取消燃油消费税(这将耗资约 24 亿美元);以及更慷慨的消费税退税;此外,还包括对新建住房的HST减免以及与安大略省达成的基础设施协议。 今日大宗商品方面,西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)收高,美国基准油价三周来首次逼近每桶100美元大关,原因是人们对结束伊朗战争的希望逐渐渺茫,霍尔木兹海峡仍然关闭。6月交割的WTI原油期货上涨3.56美元,收于每桶99.93美元,未能守住盘中一度突破的100美元关口;6月交割的布伦特原油期货上涨2.58美元,收于每桶110.81美元。 但周二下午,黄金价格跌至一个月来的低点,原因是油价上涨可能推高通胀和利率,而美元和美国国债收益率走高。6月交割的黄金期货下跌82.80美元,至每盎司4610.90美元,为3月30日以来的最低水平。
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