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在CAE公佈第四財季業績前,加拿大皇家銀行維持對其「與行業持平」的評級和42.00加元的目標價。

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-- 加拿大皇家銀行資本市場(RBC Capital Markets)週五維持對CAE(CAE.TO,CAE)股票的「與行業持平」評級和42.00加元的目標價。 RBC預計CAE即將發布的第四財季報告將重點放在公司的長期成長機會。 RBC預計管理階層將概述截至2030財年的營收、利潤率、資本支出、每股盈餘和投資報酬率目標。 RBC認為,民用和國防領域的長期利好因素可以支撐CAE長期4-5%的收入成長,並聚焦在管理階層設定的自由現金流目標所蘊含的意義。 RBC補充道,對2030財年的最新預測是自由現金流轉換率約為100%,每股收益為2.21美元。 RBC表示:“儘管我們維持對CAE的‘與行業持平’評級,但我們將關注能夠增強我們對公司執行力信心的信息,這可能會提升公司估值。” 加拿大皇家銀行(RBC)認為,2027財年的業績將“遠低於市場預期”,但RBC預計這不會成為投資者的焦點。 RBC預計,2027財年對於CAE而言將是“過渡之年”,因為該公司正處於轉型計劃執行階段。 RBC補充說:“儘管我們預期管理層提出的戰略舉措在中期內可能帶來顯著效益,但短期財務狀況可能會受到重組活動帶來的摩擦、持續的市場逆風以及成本控制措施與利潤實現之間的滯後影響。” RBC預計,管理層將制定一個成長框架,該框架以民用和國防領域的「強勁長期利好因素」為支撐,RBC認為這將支持每年4-5%的收入成長。 RBC表示:「在利潤率方面,我們預期管理層將民用業務的營運利潤率目標設定在25%左右(目前約為20%),這反映了網路合理化、利用率提高和成本結構精簡帶來的益處;國防業務的運營利潤率目標設定在11%左右(目前約為8.5%),這主要終止於傳統合約的持續得益於傳統合約的更優惠。 RBC預計,這些收入和利潤率的提升將提高資本效率,隨著網路規模的合理調整降低成長所需的資本,資本支出長期來看將放緩至約3億美元。 RBC預計將推動CAE在2030財年實現每股收益超過2.00美元。 RBC表示:“我們目前根據2030財年每股收益2.21美元的最新預期,採用22.5倍的市盈率,並以8%的折現率進行折現,得出CAE的目標股價為42美元。”

Price: $34.50, Change: $-0.27, Percent Change: -0.78%

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