-- 国际货币基金组织(IMF)周五表示,保护消费者免受高能源价格冲击“财政成本高昂”,并会延缓消费削减。这一表态与各国政府为缓解燃油价格飙升冲击所做的努力背道而驰。 IMF警告欧洲各国政府,广泛的能源补贴正在扭曲市场信号,并延缓必要的消费削减。 在周五发布的一份新的技术简报中,IMF敦促各国转向有针对性的支持,以在中东冲突导致全球供应紧张的情况下维持财政纪律。 该组织认为,广泛的补贴正在破坏全球稳定能源市场的努力。 IMF欧洲部主任阿尔弗雷德·卡默指出,虽然价格上限和燃油税减免在政治上很受欢迎,但它们会造成危险的“需求僵化”。 通过人为压低价格,各国政府阻碍了平衡全球供应链所需的消费削减。3月份,中东地区没有一艘新油轮装载到全球供应链上。 国际货币基金组织在其区域评估报告中指出:“过度的能源保护扭曲了价格信号,从而抑制了消费。” 该基金组织强调,如果霍尔木兹海峡关闭后需求没有下降,能源价格将“长期维持在高位”,这可能导致欧元区陷入深度衰退,通胀率接近5%。 这一警告与国际能源署署长法提赫·比罗尔的悲观预测不谋而合。据报道,比罗尔表示,中东能源产量需要两年时间才能恢复到战前水平。
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