-- 密西根大學週五公佈的初步調查顯示,美國消費者信心指數本月跌至歷史新低,反映出消費者對物價上漲以及中東衝突帶來的整體經濟影響的擔憂加劇。 BMO資本市場在報告中指出,4月主要消費者信心指數較3月暴跌約11%,至47.6,創歷史新低。 彭博社的調查顯示,華爾街先前預期該指數為51.5。密西根大學報告稱,本月消費者信心指數年減8.8%。 這項調查基本上完成於週二美伊宣布停火兩週之前。此前,衝突已蔓延至整個海灣地區,導致貨物運輸中斷,引發物價飆升。 目前看來,停火協議似乎仍在維持,預計華盛頓和德黑蘭的官員將於週六在促成停火的巴基斯坦舉行會晤。 「各年齡層、收入水平和政黨的消費者信心均出現下滑,指數的每個組成部分也同樣如此,這反映出本月經濟下滑的普遍性,」消費者調查主任喬安妮·許在一份聲明中表示。 “隨著消費者對伊朗衝突造成的供應中斷結束以及汽油價格回落的信心增強,經濟預期可能會有所改善。” 美國勞工統計局週五公佈的數據顯示,受中東衝突導致能源價格大幅上漲的影響,美國3月份消費者通膨率飆升至近四年來的最高月度水準。數據顯示,3月能源價格較上季成長約11%,其中汽油價格飆漲21%,佔整體漲幅的近四分之三。 密西根大學的調查顯示,未來一年的通膨預期從3月的3.8%升至本月的4.8%,為6月以來的最高水準。五年通膨預期也升至3.4%。 衡量當前經濟狀況的指標較上月下跌10%至50.1,而預期經濟狀況指標下跌近11%至46.1。 許先生表示:“耐用品和汽車的購買環境惡化,主要原因是價格高企。開放式評論顯示,許多消費者將經濟的不利變化歸咎於伊朗衝突。”
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