-- 根据标普全球周二发布的月度调查,澳大利亚服务业活动在4月份小幅回升,企业增加了招聘和产量,但受中东紧张局势影响,燃油成本上涨导致的持续通胀继续抑制新订单,并令商业信心低迷。 标普全球澳大利亚服务业采购经理人指数(PMI)商业活动指数从3月份的46.3升至4月份的50.7,表明在短暂收缩后,该行业已恢复小幅扩张。 调查显示,尽管受中东战争相关燃油成本上涨导致订单下降的影响,但员工人数的增加仍帮助企业扩大了业务活动。增长主要集中在信息通信和消费者服务行业,其他行业则出现下滑。 4月份商业活动恢复增长,但由于中东冲突抑制了需求,新订单连续第二个月下降,且下降速度略有加快。尽管出口订单在经历了上月的大幅下滑后有所反弹。 燃油价格上涨推高了投入成本,并加速了通胀,使其增速达到2022年8月以来的最快水平。超过43%的企业报告成本上涨,其中运输和仓储行业的投入和销售价格涨幅最为显著。 调查显示,由于燃油成本转嫁给消费者,澳大利亚服务业的产出价格迅速上涨,通胀率达到2023年1月以来的最快水平。与此同时,就业连续第16个月保持稳健增长。 尽管市场情绪低迷,但企业扩张计划提振了未来12个月的前景。就业增长和新订单疲软促使企业连续第二个月以2024年11月以来最快的速度清理积压订单。 4月份综合产出指数从3月份的46.6升至50.4,重回50荣枯线以上,表明在经历了上月的下滑之后,商业活动略有复苏。 4月份,由于服务业增长,制造业产出上升,而新订单在强劲通胀的背景下下降,同时投入和产出价格以2022年以来最快的速度上涨,导致制造业产出下降。 调查还显示,员工人数大幅增加,超过了3月份的增幅,而商业信心进一步下降至22个月以来的最低点。
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