-- 美國基準股指盤中走高，投資人消化了最新一批企業財報，而油價則下跌。 週四午盤過後，道瓊工業指數上漲1.5%，至49,601.7點；標普500指數上漲0.7%，至7,187.1點；那斯達克指數上漲0.5%，至24,800.9點。除科技板塊外，所有板塊均上漲，其中通訊服務板塊領漲，漲幅達3.5%。 公司方面，卡特彼勒（CAT）股價盤中飆漲10%，成為道瓊指數中表現最佳的股票，也是標普500指數中漲幅最大的股票之一。這家重型設備製造商上調了全年銷售預期，此前其第一季業績超出市場預期。 禮來（LLY）也上調了全年業績預期，這家藥廠公佈的第一季業績也高於市場預期。該股上漲10%。 由於Facebook母公司Meta Platforms (META)上調了全年資本支出預期（主要原因是零件價格上漲），該公司股價暴跌9.2%，成為標普500指數中跌幅最大的股票之一。 微軟(MSFT)股價下跌5.8%，成為道瓊指數中表現最差的股票。這家科技巨頭表示，2026年的資本支出將約為1,900億美元，同時其第三財季業績超出市場預期。 iPhone製造商蘋果(AAPL)計劃在市場收盤後發布季度財報。 油價在前一交易日飆升後回落，布蘭特原油下跌3.5%至每桶113.94美元，盤中一度突破每桶126美元。西德州中質原油下跌2.5%至每桶104.22美元。 經濟新聞方面，由於通膨壓力導致支出放緩，美國第一季經濟成長低於華爾街預期。經濟學家表示，通膨壓力可能會持續給消費者帶來壓力。 牛津經濟研究院首席美國經濟學家邁克爾·皮爾斯在發給的電子郵件中表示：「（第一季）經濟核心依然穩健，這主要得益於人工智能的建設和減稅政策開始顯現的成效。這些因素將在今年餘下的時間裡繼續推動經濟增長，但能源價格的飆升將給原本強勁的經濟表現蒙上陰影。」 受中東衝突導致能源價格飆升的影響，美國3月份的個人消費支出價格指數（PCEPI）成長加快，達到2022年中以來的最快水準。 道明經濟研究院經濟學家克謝尼婭·布希梅涅娃在一份報告中指出：“通膨壓力持續存在。” “能源危機形勢依然不明朗，天然氣價格可能在一段時間內維持高位。” 週三，聯準會維持基準利率不變，稱伊朗戰爭加劇了美國經濟前景的不確定性。 美國公債殖利率盤中走低，10年期公債殖利率下跌3.8個基點至4.40%，2年期公債殖利率下跌6.9個基點至3.90%。 黃金價格上漲1.3%至每盎司4,620美元，白銀價格上漲2%至每盎司73.51美元。
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International
TSX Closer: Index Up For the First Day In Six On Bargain Hunting, Economic Rebound In Q1
The Toronto Stock Exchange on Thursday posted its first wining session in six, recovered all the 630 points and more lost over the prior five sessions, on some bargain hunting and a first-quarter rebound for the Canadian economy.The S&P/TSX Composite Index rose 645.94 points, or 1.9% to close at 33,964.33, with most sectors higher, led by Base Metals, up near 3%, even with gold prices deflated. Even Energy was up 0.8%, despite lower oil prices.The Battery Metals Index lost 2.7%.On the economy, Derek Holt, Head of Capital Markets Economics at Scotiabank noted Canada's economy rebounded in Q1 and "might be performing a smidge better" than the Bank of Canada's published forecast yesterday. "Still," Holt said, "it's backward data that settles nothing much other than to reject gloomier consensus views on the underlying performance of the economy coming into the start of the year."Holt noted the economy grew by 0.17% month over month seasonally-adjusted, rounded up to 0.2% on screens. Statcan's preliminary guidance for March was that GDP was unchanged, absent any details. What this translates into is Q1 GDP tracking growth of 1.7% on a quarter over quarter SAAR (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate), a rebound from the 0.3% q/q SAAR contraction in Q4, "with an asterisk beside both readings", Holt added.That asterisk speaks to the fact that we're using monthly, production-side GDP accounts, Holt said. The BoC and the street focuses upon more complete quarterly GDP accounts that also consider how activity was generated, such as by considering swings in inventory investment, he added.Holt said the difference may be material. Q4 GDP in expenditure-based terms shrank by -0.6% q/q SAAR because inventory depletion drove a 4.2 percentage point weighted drag against GDP economy. Final domestic demand excludes inventory effects and it grew by 2.3% q/q SAAR in Q4. "We don't have the complete inventory and trade picture for Q1 yet and so there continues to be some tracking risk," Holt added.Holt cited a chart that shows what drove February GDP. Manufacturing punched above its weight while the rest was an evenly distributed mixture of small growth additions and drags, he said. Some of the drags were weather oriented in his view, like construction, and maybe some of the leisure categories, he added.So, while GDP rebounded, it likely outpaced the supply side of the economy which will probably translate into a narrower output gap when we get the full set of Q1 GDP accounts, according to Holt.Of commodities, gold traded higher by midafternoon Thursday as the dollar dropped after a report showed a key U.S. inflation measure rose last month, while first-quarter gross domestic product rose less than expected. Gold for June delivery was up US$71.30 to US$4,632.80 per ounce, remaining within the US$200 range it has traded within for the past month.But West Texas Intermediate crude oil closed lower, falling off four-year highs touched overnight during Asian trade on a report the U.S. may end the ceasefire with Iran as the largest-ever supply shock hits hardest for the continent that relies on Persian Gulf supplies now trapped behind the closed Strait of Hormuz. WTI crude oil for June delivery closed down US$1.81 to settle at US$105.07 per barrel after touching US$110.93 overnight, while June Brent oil was last seen down US$4.12 to US$113.91, after it reached US$126.34 overnight, the highest since 2022.
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Mining & Metals
Earnings Flash (CYBT.CN) Cybeats Technologies Reports Q4 Revenue $0.72M Vs $0.511M Year Ago; Net Loss in Q4 $299,318 Vs Loss of $3.226M
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Commodities
EU Clears Itochu, Peninsula Petroleum Ammonia Marine Fuel Joint Venture
The European Commission on Thursday cleared an Itochu-Peninsula joint venture for ammonia fuel trading, citing limited market share and negligible activity in the European Economic Area.The Commission approved the joint venture between Japan-based Itochu and Peninsula Petroleum, based in Ireland, under the EU Merger Regulation.The companies will focus on marketing services for ammonia bunkering and trading ammonia as a marine fuel, according to the Commission.The Commission found no competition concerns due to the venture's minimal presence in the European Economic Area and the companies' limited combined market positions, following a simplified review process.