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受美伊谈判进展预期提振,油价上涨但仍低于100美元。

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-- 周四早盘油价上涨,但仍稳守在每桶100美元以下,原因是市场寄希望于美国和伊朗延长停火协议并重启谈判,以结束中东战争。 5月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油期货价格上涨0.43美元,至每桶91.72美元;6月交割的布伦特原油期货价格上涨0.95美元,至每桶95.88美元。 美国海军封锁了伊朗港口,而伊朗则继续封锁霍尔木兹海峡。然而,美国总统特朗普周三再次表示,他认为冲突即将结束,与此同时,巴基斯坦调解人继续敦促两国恢复谈判。这些言论为结束这场战争带来了一线希望,这场战争导致波斯湾国家每日20%的石油和天然气需求无法得到满足。 供应冲击对亚洲国家的影响最为严重,一些国家已开始实行配给制,同时推高了现货供应的价格,目前油价已接近每桶150美元。 盛宝银行指出:“由于有迹象表明美国和伊朗可能延长停火协议并重启旨在结束这场战争的谈判,油价趋于稳定。这场战争导致波斯湾关键大宗商品的全球供应中断。这引发了严重的供应冲击,其影响仍在全球范围内持续扩大,目前相对平静且低于每桶100美元的期货价格并不能完全反映现货市场的实际情况。”

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