-- 美國基準股指盤中走高,而油價則因投資者對有關華盛頓和德黑蘭即將達成結束戰爭的潛在協議的報道做出反應而暴跌。 週三午盤過後,那斯達克指數上漲1.6%,至25726點;標普500指數上漲1.1%,至7339.3點。兩大股指均有望連續兩日創下歷史新高。道瓊工業指數上漲1%,至49792.1點。 在各板塊中,工業板塊表現最佳,上漲2.2%;能源板塊跌幅最大,達4.1%。 西德州中質原油下跌6.6%,至每桶95.57美元;布蘭特原油下跌7%,至每桶102.20美元。 根據Axios週三報道,美國即將與伊朗就一份僅一頁紙的諒解備忘錄達成協議,以結束中東衝突,並為更詳細的核談判建立框架。 Axios引述兩位美國官員和另外兩位知情人士的消息稱,兩國正朝著就一份旨在結束戰爭的簡短備忘錄達成協議。 CNN也引述一位熟悉談判的地區消息人士的消息稱,兩國正朝著達成協議的方向邁進。 麥格理在一份報告中表示:“受Axios消息的影響,美國交易員今天醒來後發現市場一片歡騰。就目前而言,好消息是,向Axios洩露協議存在的消息來源稱,這是自戰爭爆發以來,雙方最接近達成協議的一次。” 美國總統川普再次警告伊朗,稱如果不能達成協議,「轟炸將再次開始」。 川普在社群媒體上發文說:“假設伊朗同意交出已達成的協議(這或許是一個很大的假設),那麼這場已成傳奇的‘史詩級憤怒’(Epic Fury)將會結束,而高效的封鎖將使霍爾木茲海峽對包括伊朗在內的所有國家開放。” 根據新聞報道,伊朗表示仍在審查美國的最新提案。 美國公債殖利率盤中走低,10年期公債殖利率下跌7.4個基點至4.36%,2年期公債殖利率下跌7.2個基點至3.88%。 公司新聞方面,AMD(Advanced Micro Devices)股價飆漲近17%,成為標普500指數中表現最佳的股票之一。這家晶片製造商在周二晚些時候公佈了強於預期的第一季業績,因為人工智慧基礎設施的需求推動資料中心收入同比增長。 迪士尼(DIS)週三公佈的第二財季業績超出市場預期,所有業務部門的營收均實現成長。這家媒體和娛樂巨頭重申了其下半年成長加速的預期。迪士尼股價上漲6.5%,成為道瓊指數中表現最佳的股票。 英偉達(NVDA)緊追在迪士尼之後,在道瓊指數中上漲4.5%。特種玻璃製造商康寧(GLW)將根據與晶片巨頭達成的多年合作協議,提升其光連接裝置的產能,以支援人工智慧工廠的建設。康寧股價飆漲14%。 Arista Networks(ANET)股價暴跌16%,成為標普500指數中表現最差的股票之一。這家雲端網路公司週二稍晚發布的第二財季營收預期略低於市場預期。 Arm(ARM)、Applovin(APP)、DoorDash(DASH)和華納兄弟探索頻道(WBD)以及其他一些公司預計將於週三收盤後發布財報。 經濟新聞方面,ADP數據顯示,4月美國私部門就業成長創一年多來新高。 牛津經濟研究院在一份報告中指出:「ADP就業報告顯示,私部門就業人數的增長不僅表明勞動力市場穩定,而且可能在伊朗戰爭爆發後出現回暖跡象。如果週五公佈的官方數據也反映出這一信號,鑑於盈虧平衡點較低(我們估計接近零),失業率可能會下降。」 彭博社總結的一項調查顯示,預計美國勞工統計局週五公佈的數據顯示,4月美國非農業就業人數增加6.5萬人,低於3月的17.8萬人。失業率預計維持在4.3%不變。 黃金價格上漲 2.8%,至每盎司 4,695.90 美元;白銀價格上漲 5.3%,至每盎司 77.48 美元。
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Advanced Micro Devices Set to Command Half of Growing Server CPU Market, BofA Says
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is expected to capture about half of the total addressable market for server central processing units, which the company expects will exceed $120 billion by 2030, BofA Securities said in a note emailed Wednesday.The chip maker's updated forecast for server CPU TAM is double its previous estimate amid rising agentic artificial intelligence demand, according to the brokerage.The server CPU market is now expected to grow more than 35% annually, reaching over $120 billion by 2030, AMD Chief Executive Lisa Su said late Tuesday during an earnings call, according to a FactSet transcript.The company previously expected market growth of 18% annually over the next three to five years.BofA expects AMD to capture a roughly 50% share of the server CPU market, with the remaining half split between rivals Intel (INTC) and Arm (ARM)."Rising CPU TAM is good for all CPU vendors, but we expect AMD to maintain/expand share on (the) back of broad portfolio, rising enterprise focus, continued cloud leadership and consistent roadmap execution," BofA analyst Vivek Arya wrote. "Separately, we expect AMD to potentially announce other large customers for GPUs for (2027) and beyond."Shares of AMD surged 18% in Wednesday afternoon trade.The company reported stronger-than-expected first-quarter results late Tuesday, as demand for AI infrastructure pushed data center revenue higher year over year."Inferencing and agentic AI are increasing the need for server CPU compute as these workloads require additional CPU processing for orchestration, data movement, and parallel execution in addition to serving as the head nodes for GPUs and accelerators," Su told analysts during the earnings call. "As a result, we are seeing both stronger near-term demand and deeper engagement with customers on long-term capacity planning."AMD currently represents about 6% of the AI TAM, and that figure is expected to grow toward double digits by 2030, Arya said.Still, AMD remains "exposed to uncertain share allocation between numerous OpenAI suppliers" including Nvidia (NVDA), Broadcom (AVGO) and Cerebras Systems, he said.Following AMD's first-quarter results, BofA raised the company's 2026 and 2027 pro-forma earnings per share estimate by 9% each to $7.28 and $11.80. The brokerage is projecting AMD's 2030 EPS potential at more than $27, above management's $20-plus target.BofA reiterated AMD's buy rating and lifted the price target to $450 from $310.Price: $417.82, Change: $+62.56, Percent Change: +17.61%
OPEC Production Slumps to 36-Year Low on Iran Conflict Impact, Bloomberg Survey Says
OPEC crude production slumped to its lowest level in 36 years last month as an ongoing Iran conflict choked off Persian Gulf exports and forced a wave of supply shut-ins, a Bloomberg survey showed on Wednesday.Output from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries fell by 420,000 barrels per day in April to an average of 20.55 million b/d. The total marks the group's lowest production ceiling since 1990, led by deepening supply disruptions in Kuwait and Iran.Last week, the producer group also faced another setback when the UAE announced its formal departure. Bloomberg's April survey includes figures for the UAE for the final month before its exit takes effect on May 1.Kuwait registered the group's steepest decline in April, with output falling by 470,000 b/d to an average of 800,000 b/d.Iran followed, after initially sustaining exports in the early phase of the conflict while restricting use of the strait by others, but has since come under mounting pressure from a US-led blockade on shipments.However, despite the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz, OPEC agreed over the weekend to a nominal increase in output quotas for June.The symbolic move is intended to maintain the alliance's pre-war strategy of restoring production, though analysts noted the hikes remain largely "on paper" given the current maritime blockade.
Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Strong Buy Opinion On Shares Of Arista Networks, Inc.
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We keep our 12-month target at $175, based on 48.2x our 2026 EPS estimate. We increase our 2026 EPS estimate by $0.10 to $3.63 and 2027's by $0.17 to $4.42. While ANET was able to raise its full-year guidance, it was lower than we expected due to some notable challenges. It experienced industry-wide supply shortages, particularly in wafers, silicon chips, CPUs, optics, and memory. These shortages increased procurement costs and limited its ability to fully meet strong customer demand. Gross margin was under pressure due to a combination of higher supply chain costs (especially for memory and silicon) and a shift in customer mix toward larger accounts, which tend to have lower margins. It also paid more to secure supply continuity, further impacting margins. Lead times for critical components, particularly high-end chips used in AI platforms, were extremely long, sometimes extending to 52 weeks or more, requiring ANET to make multiyear purchase commitments and increasing the risk of inventory imbalances.