-- 受中东紧张局势持续推高能源价格的影响,瑞士2026年4月年度通胀率连续第二个月上涨,并创下自2024年12月以来的最高水平。 瑞士联邦统计局周二公布的数据显示,继3月份上涨0.3%之后,4月份瑞士消费者价格指数(CPI)同比上涨0.6%。环比来看,4月份CPI小幅上涨0.3%,低于3月份的0.2%涨幅和市场普遍预期的0.4%。 剔除生鲜和季节性产品、能源和燃料等波动较大的项目后,年度通胀率从0.4%小幅下降至0.3%。核心通胀率环比为零增长。 瑞士联邦统计局将环比上涨主要归因于汽油、柴油和取暖油价格上涨,以及航空运输和国际旅游套餐价格上涨。另一方面,当月酒店和配套住宿价格以及汽车租赁和共享汽车价格均有所下降。瑞士国家银行(SNBN.SW)在3月份的货币政策评估中,维持基准利率在0%不变,理由是中期内通胀压力“几乎保持不变”。然而,瑞士央行指出,由于中东冲突,该国经济前景变得“相当不确定”。 “由于中东局势升级导致能源价格上涨,未来几个季度通胀可能会进一步加剧。因此,短期通胀预期高于2025年12月的预期。中期通胀预期则略低,这主要得益于瑞士法郎走强。”瑞士央行当时表示。“鉴于中东冲突,瑞士央行干预外汇市场的意愿有所增强。瑞士央行此举旨在防止瑞士法郎快速过度升值,从而避免危及瑞士的价格稳定。” 瑞士央行下一次货币政策评估定于6月18日进行。
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