-- 官方数据显示,受中东冲突推高油价的影响,美国3月份零售销售额环比增长1.7%,创下自2025年3月以来的最大增幅。这主要得益于加油站消费的激增。 美国人口普查局报告称,3月份零售销售额环比增长1.7%,高于前一个月修正后的0.7%,创下自2025年3月以来的最大增幅。彭博社汇总的一项调查显示,市场普遍预期增幅为1.4%。 政府数据显示,上月加油站销售额增长约16%,家具和家居用品商店销售额增长2.2%,其他大多数品类也均实现增长。 杰富瑞首席美国经济学家托马斯·西蒙斯在给客户的报告中表示:“我们预计,由于汽油价格上涨和汽车销量回升,整体零售销售额会非常亮眼,但其他品类的强劲增长令人惊讶。目前还没有证据表明,汽油价格上涨已经促使消费者在其他方面缩减开支。” 自2月底美以与伊朗爆发战争以来,能源价格飙升。战争期间,霍尔木兹海峡——全球最重要的原油运输咽喉要道——被迫关闭。 据追踪美国燃油价格的旅行组织AAA的数据显示,周二美国零售汽油平均价格为每加仑4.022美元,而一年前为每加仑3.153美元。 据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)周二援引消息人士报道,目前尚不清楚美国副总统万斯何时启程前往巴基斯坦,参加可能举行的与伊朗的第二轮谈判。此前宣布的停火协议的最后期限即将到来。CNN援引巴基斯坦调解员的话报道称,德黑兰方面尚未确认是否会出席谈判。 西蒙斯表示:“我们的基本预期是停火协议不会延长,但停火协议的到期将促使各方迅速采取行动,以持久结束战斗,并恢复霍尔木兹海峡的货物运输。” “如果这一预测正确,汽油价格将在今年剩余时间内逐步走低,从而提振消费支出和整体经济增长。” 官方数据显示,3月份剔除汽车和汽油相关产品后的零售额增长0.6%,高于华尔街此前预期的0.3%。
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