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受宏觀經濟疲軟影響,房屋建築商信心跌至9月以來最低點

-- 美國全美住宅建築商協會(NAHB)和富國銀行週三表示,受經濟不確定性、建材成本上漲和利率上升的影響,美國房屋建築商信心指數本月跌至去年9月以來的最低點。 涵蓋新建獨棟住宅的房屋市場指數4月較上月下降4點至34。彭博社彙整的一項調查顯示,市場普遍預期該指數為37。 NAHB主席比爾歐文斯表示:「由於購屋者面臨持續高企的利率和日益加劇的經濟不確定性,建築商信心在春季回落。年初人們曾寄希望於住房市場增長勢頭強勁,但伊朗戰爭、能源成本上漲以及消費者信心下降等風險因素已導致市場放緩。」 在美伊週末於巴基斯坦舉行的和平談判無果後,美國海軍對霍爾木茲海峽伊朗港口的封鎖仍在繼續。不過,華盛頓和德黑蘭之間為期兩週的停火協議仍然有效。戰爭始於二月底,由於關鍵海峽的關閉,能源價格飆升。 全美住宅建築商協會(NAHB)週三公佈的調查顯示,衡量銷售預期的指數在4月環比下降7點至42。報告也顯示,衡量潛在購屋者的指數下降3點至22,而目前銷售狀況指數下降4點至37。 本月約有36%的房屋建築商下調了價格,低於3月份的37%。 4月份的平均降價幅度為5%,低於上月的6%;而銷售獎勵措施的使用率為60%,低於3月份的64%。 NAHB首席經濟學家羅伯特·迪茨表示:“由於美國油價上漲,62%的建築商反映,由於包括汽油和柴油在內的燃料價格上漲,供應商提高了建築材料成本。鑑於近期經濟風險較高,70%的建築商表示,由於材料成本的不確定性,房屋定價面臨挑戰。” 此外,美國抵押貸款銀行家協會(MBA)週三表示,經季節性調整後,截至上週五的一周內,美國抵押貸款申請量增加了1.8%,原因是利率下降。未經調整的數據顯示,申請量增加了2%。 MBA副首席經濟學家喬爾·坎表示:“鑑於中東局勢的演變及其對能源和大宗商品價格的影響,上週抵押貸款利率有所下降。”他補充道:“利率的下降有助於支撐傳統再融資申請量的增長,此前該類申請量已連續五週下降。” 報告顯示,再融資指數季增5%,而經季節性調整後的購屋指數則較上季下降1%。

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