-- 印尼中央統計局週二公佈的數據顯示，受政府支出部分推動，印尼第一季國內生產毛額（GDP）年增5.61%。 作為東南亞最大的經濟體，印尼今年的GDP實現了2022年以來最大的年度增幅。但一些專家警告稱，隨著政府縮減支出，以及能源價格上漲抑制企業和消費者的需求，未來幾季的經濟成長可能會放緩。 為刺激家庭消費，雅加達加大了包括免費餐點計畫和鄉村合作社資助在內的旗艦社會福利計畫的投入，政府第一季支出年增21.8%。 此外，政府也在第一季大力支出，以支持齋戒月和開齋節期間的各項支出，因為齋戒月和開齋節期間許多企業都會歇業。 儘管面臨挑戰，馬來西亞最大的銀行馬來亞銀行（Maybank）的經濟學家表示，印尼經濟在2026年全年仍可能保持相對強勁的5%成長。 根據新加坡《商業時報》報道，馬來亞銀行分析師Brian Lee和Hak Bin Chua表示，印尼經濟成長面臨的阻力可能在第二季加劇，國際貿易成本壓力將抑制出口。 分析師補充說，燃油價格上漲和印尼盾貶值可能會推高未來的進口支出。 此外，人們也擔心印尼中央政府的支出無法持續。 《商業時報》報道稱：“印尼大學宏觀經濟、金融和政治經濟研究小組的一組經濟學家指出，政府正在繼續推行財政成本高昂的旗艦項目，包括一項全國性的免費午餐計劃。” 《商業時報》指出，對財政支出和政府借貸的擔憂也擾亂了金融市場，包括穆迪和標普全球評級等信用評級機構的負面評論。 4月中旬，標普全球將印尼債券的評級定為“BBB/A-2”，其中BBB-是“投資級”政府債券的最低評級。 標普全球表示，如果印尼國債水準持續上升，BBB評等可能會被下調。
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