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加拿大豐業銀行稱,愛德華王子島的財政前景在可負擔性預算中惡化

-- 加拿大豐業銀行表示,儘管愛德華王子島省政府努力尋求財政節約並製定新的可負擔性措施,但由於收入下降和支出增加,該省預計赤字將比此前預期更大,債務增長速度也將更快。 該銀行指出,未來幾年赤字的下降在很大程度上取決於該省能否透過支出審查實現每年2億加元的計畫節約,以及能否按計畫放緩醫療支出成長。 2026財年赤字預計為4.5億加元,佔名目國內生產毛額(NGDP)的4%,高於年中更新的3.67億加元(佔NGDP的3.2%),預計將從2027財年的4.1億加幣(佔NGDP的3.5%)下降到2029億年的3.38億年的2.38%)。 今年和2027年實際GDP成長率均為2%,低於2025年預估的2.4%。 加拿大豐業銀行指出,長期高額赤字將進一步推高該省的淨債務。淨負債預計將從2026財年的37.7億加幣(佔GDP的33.2%)增至2027財年的45億加幣(佔GDP的38.1%)及2028財年的48.9億加幣(佔GDP的39.8%),並在2028財年的48.9億加幣(佔GDP的39.8%),並在2029億年 該銀行補充道,在巨額赤字和資本項目的壓力下,該省的現金需求仍然居高不下。 2027財年,現金需求總額預計為9.184億美元,低於2026財年的10.5億美元,主要原因是綜合赤字(4.1億美元)、資本資產購置(4.865億美元)以及代表國營企業淨借款(1.051億美元),其中部分淨借款將被1.662美元的攤銷。 這些借款需求計劃透過9億美元的長期借款和1840萬美元的短期借款及營運資金來滿足。

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