-- 加拿大豐業銀行表示,儘管先前受到避險情緒和美元走強的影響,加元在季節性因素和部位調整的支撐下,正從近期疲軟態勢中反彈。美元兌加幣匯率最新報1.3612附近。 該行指出,迄今為止,在伊朗衝突期間,加幣與原油價格的相關性一直為負。 加拿大豐業銀行首席外匯策略師肖恩·奧斯本表示:“相反,加元在3月下旬表現平平,現貨價格一度觸及略低於1.40的峰值,這反映了避險情緒和市場對美元的普遍需求。” 「根據我們對短期即期均衡的估計,美元兌加元匯率在4月初被嚴重高估。但加元匯率目前非常低廉,美元套期保值者願意充分利用加元兌美元匯率向1.40靠攏的機會拋售,以及4月份加元的季節性上漲趨勢(自20世紀70年代以來,4月份一直是加元增加率 加拿大豐業銀行持續維持其年底前將即期匯率目標定為1.33的預期。
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