-- 加拿大帝國商業銀行（CIBC）在周四公佈國內生產總值（GDP）數據後表示，加拿大經濟成長似乎在第一季“重燃”，但“尚未完全恢復”。 該行指出，2月的月GDP數據顯示季增0.2%，與市場普遍預期和初步估計值相符。 CIBC指出，製造業是經濟成長的最大貢獻者，這主要得益於汽車產業在1月萎縮後出現的反彈。汽車產業供應瓶頸的緩解也推動了批發業的成長。然而，除上述行業外，其他行業的趨勢“明顯更加複雜”，3月份的初步估計值顯示該月GDP將持平。 CIBC表示，就第一季整體而言，週四公佈的初步估計值顯示年化成長率為1.7%，與加拿大央行貨幣政策報告預測的1.5%非常接近。然而，報告補充道，3月經濟成長動能再次放緩，加上週四公佈的就業、薪資和工時調查（SEPH）數據顯示2月就業人數下降（-60,000），可能預示著第二季度經濟前景堪憂。 不過，加拿大帝國商業銀行（CIBC）認為，總體而言，石油市場的走勢以及通膨壓力是否蔓延至核心指標的任何跡象，仍將是決定加拿大央行今年是否需要升息的關鍵因素。 CIBC仍然認為，即使能源價格上漲的影響在某些領域顯現，加拿大經濟仍有足夠的閒置產能來維持核心通膨指標的溫和水平，這將使加拿大央行能夠在2026年之前維持利率不變。
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