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加拿大皇家银行资本市场表示,辉瑞即将进行的Tafamidis药物体外试验显示出不对称的上涨潜力。

-- 加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)周一发布的一份报告指出,辉瑞(PFE)的tafamidis药物的庭审将于下周开始,根据对三种核心结果情景的建模分析,该案显示出不对称的上涨空间,在悲观情景和乐观情景之间,净现值差异高达50亿美元。 这家投资公司表示,该诉讼的关键在于将于2035年到期的“441”多晶型物专利,该专利“在科学上最薄弱”,因为“695”化合物和“696”用途专利预计将继续有效。 RBC估计,辉瑞胜诉的概率为19%,届时该公司将证明存在侵权行为,并获得专利保护至2035年,净现值将超过60亿美元。 报告还指出,双方打成平局的概率为60%,仿制药将于2032年左右上市,净现值将超过30亿美元。 此外,辉瑞公司表示,其多晶型专利败诉的概率为21%,这意味着仿制药将于2028年上市,而这一预期目前已反映在公司股价中。 加拿大皇家银行维持对该股的“弱于大盘”评级,目标价为25美元。

Price: $27.77, Change: $+0.21, Percent Change: +0.74%

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