-- 由于美伊冲突可能产生长期影响,加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)上调了其大宗商品价格预期。 分析师表示,供需基本面趋紧促使他们将2026-2028年布伦特原油/WTI原油的均衡价格上调10美元至每百万立方英尺80美元/75美元,并将亨利枢纽天然气的均衡价格上调0.25美元至每百万立方英尺4.00美元。 加拿大皇家银行的研究报告指出:“此举反映了海湾地区持续的附带损害,以及从能源安全角度来看,全球对原油的需求不断上升。” 报告还补充道,鉴于近期股票估值大幅上涨(今年迄今为止已上涨超过50%),股票回购活动可能会放缓。 在交易策略方面,加拿大皇家银行(RBC)重点推荐了大型石油公司中的康菲石油(COP)和EOG资源(EOG),中小型石油公司中的加州资源(CRC)、二叠纪资源(PR)和科德能源集团(CHRD),以及天然气行业的Expand Energy Corp (EXE)。 RBC表示,为反映其对大宗商品价格预期的调整,已将其每股收益与每股现金流比率的预期平均上调了45%,其中石油公司的预期上调幅度普遍接近55%。 报告指出,与此相符,目标股价平均上调了27%。
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