-- 加拿大皇家银行资本市场（RBC Capital Markets）周五表示，美元/加元货币对自3月27日上次更新以来净下跌约0.5%，此前该货币对在特朗普自行设定的最后期限前曾出现上涨，但随着市场预期伊朗冲突将缓和，该货币对又出现抛售。 加拿大皇家银行在其《加元周报》（CAD Weekly Soundbites）中指出，今天上午公布的美国和加拿大经济数据不太可能在可预见的未来改变美联储和加拿大央行的“维持”货币政策立场。因此，美元/加元的走势可能取决于市场预期冲突升级（美元走强）还是缓和（美元走弱），而原油价格则起到部分抵消作用。 加拿大皇家银行表示，伊朗冲突持续时间越长，其对能源价格和供应链的影响越大，市场就越有可能关注发达市场的货币和财政应对措施。 加拿大皇家银行补充道，如果美联储和加拿大央行都维持利率不变，那么目前较大的利率差将为美元/加元提供支撑；但如果两家央行的反应机制开始出现分歧，则可能影响美元/加元的走势，并削弱加元作为“迷你美元”的地位。 从技术角度来看，加拿大皇家银行的乔治·戴维斯表示，跌破1.3860的看跌趋势反转结束了过去一个月的短期上涨趋势，目前价格正在试探1.3818的200日均线。如果跌破该均线，关注点将转移到2月至3月形成的1.3728的旧三重顶形态。加拿大皇家银行指出，初步阻力位在1.3874，其次是1.3932的更强阻力位，该阻力位自1月份以来已连续阻挡了四次上涨行情。
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