-- 加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)周二表示,根据其正在建立的美国液化天然气(LNG)运输监测系统的数据,3月份运载美国液化天然气前往进口市场的油轮出港量创下新高,原因是来自中东的供应中断。 RBC表示,据估计,未申报目的地的出港油轮中,43%的目的地为欧洲。运往亚洲的油轮出港量环比翻番,而欧洲仍然是大部分出港货物的目的地。 RBC指出,由于部分中东货物的供应中断,亚太地区的需求可能会增加。 RBC表示,卡塔尔约83%的LNG出口能力仍然完好,该国仍需4-6周才能恢复正常运输,而剩余17%的出口能力则需要数年时间才能恢复。 在美国新增产能项目中,金山口液化天然气项目(Golden Pass)已完成首批货物的交付;年产能150万吨的科珀斯克里斯蒂三期5号生产线已于3月27日基本完工,略微提前于原计划。 加拿大皇家银行(RBC)表示,预计年产能与5号生产线相同的科珀斯克里斯蒂三期6号和7号生产线将于夏秋季基本完工。 萨宾山口7号生产线已签订商业合同;卡尔克苏山口二期二阶段项目于3月中旬做出最终投资决定。 加拿大皇家银行的数据显示,3月份液化天然气运输船出港数量达到145艘,创历史新高,比2月份增长23%。 这一增长部分归功于生产商利用少量闲置产能,在全球供应冲击导致需求上升的情况下最大限度地提高产量。 加拿大皇家银行(RBC)表示,第三方追踪数据将有助于证实其预期,即由于对转口货物的争夺以及套利机会的出现,越来越多的货物将运往亚洲。 该研究报告指出,位于普拉克明斯(Plaquemines)的主要液化天然气(LNG)工厂的36条生产线全部投入生产,预计2026年产量约为2600万吨,之后将增至2800万吨。 该装置目前正在调试中,一期工程(年产能1330万吨)的合同将于第四季度开始生效。RBC表示,二期工程(年产能670万吨)将于2027年中期左右开始调试。
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