-- 加拿大皇家银行资本市场策略师周五在一份报告中指出,金德摩根(KMI)第一季度盈利超出预期,这主要得益于销量增长、冬季天气利好以及大宗商品价格走强。 加拿大皇家银行分析师表示,目前预计金德摩根2026年调整后EBITDA将比此前预期至少高出3%,反映出其整个网络运营状况的改善。 然而,尽管业绩乐观,金德摩根股价在财报发布后小幅下跌。分析师认为,这主要是由于积压订单增长有限、西部门户项目存在不确定性以及投资者在行业其他公司财报发布前进行仓位调整所致。 今年以来,整个中游行业持续表现优异。截至4月23日当周,Alerian MLP指数上涨1.6%,超过了标普500指数1%的涨幅。今年迄今为止,中游基准指数上涨14.5%,而标普500指数仅上涨3.8%。 加拿大皇家银行(RBC)表示,尽管大宗商品价格依然波动,但稳定的现金流和不断增长的天然气基础设施需求支撑了该行业的强劲表现。 本周,西德克萨斯中质原油近月合约上涨约2%,至每桶约97美元;亨利枢纽天然气价格下跌约2%,至每百万英热单位2.59美元。 相比之下,切尼尔能源公司(LNG)股价下跌2.1%。加拿大皇家银行分析师表示,这可能反映了投资者在财报发布前进行仓位调整,以及资金转向其他中游公司。 本周,有限合伙企业(MLP)的表现略优于C型公司,MLP上涨1.2%,而C型公司仅上涨1%。 展望未来,投资者关注的焦点是Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) 和 Oneok (OKE) 即将发布的财报,两家公司均定于4月28日发布财报。 市场参与者将密切关注有关大宗商品价格上涨、生产商活动、项目产能提升、出口需求和资本配置计划的影响,以及冬季天气和主要盆地价格差变化的影响。 加拿大皇家银行(RBC)分析师指出,其他运营商,包括Williams Companies (WMB)、Energy Transfer (ET)、Targa Resources (TRGP) 和 Sunoco (SUN),也可能受到业绩的积极影响,他们认为季节性需求、市场营销优化和大宗商品价格波动都将带来利好因素。
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