-- 加拿大皇家银行（RBC）表示，4月份的加拿大劳动力调查（LFS）将于周五发布，并将成为本周宏观经济的关注焦点。 该行预计，在控制了前所未有的劳动力增长放缓之后，就业形势将基本保持稳定，人均劳动状况将逐步改善。 RBC预测，4月份新增就业岗位约2.5万个，此前1月和2月的就业岗位有所减少，3月份仅部分恢复。 该行指出，即便如此，到2026年前四个月，就业岗位仍将减少7万个，但这些新增岗位仍足以将失业率从6.7%降至6.6%，进一步低于2025年8月和9月7.1%的近期峰值。 RBC指出，联邦政府严格的移民上限和人口老龄化已大幅降低了降低失业率（衡量人均劳动状况的更佳指标）所需的就业增长幅度。 劳动力市场尚未强劲复苏，迄今为止失业率下降幅度仍然“温和”，该银行预计3月份工资的激增不会在4月份重现。 然而，加拿大皇家银行的基本预测假设今年情况将进一步逐步改善，即使就业增长低于历史正常水平，失业率也将在年底前小幅下降至6.3%。
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