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加拿大皇家銀行資本市場表示,輝瑞即將進行的Tafamidis藥物體外試驗顯示出不對稱的上漲潛力。

-- 加拿大皇家銀行資本市場(RBC Capital Markets)週一發布的一份報告指出,輝瑞(PFE)的tafamidis藥物的庭審將於下週開始,根據對三種核心結果情景的建模分析,該案顯示出不對稱的上漲空間,在悲觀情景和樂觀情景之間,淨現值差異高達50億美元。 這家投資公司表示,該訴訟的關鍵在於將於2035年到期的“441”多晶型物專利,該專利“在科學上最薄弱”,因為“695”化合物和“696”用途專利預計將繼續有效。 RBC估計,輝瑞勝訴的機率為19%,屆時該公司將證明存在侵權行為,並獲得專利保護至2035年,淨現值將超過60億美元。 報告也指出,雙方打成平手的機率為60%,仿製藥將於2032年左右上市,淨現值將超過30億美元。 此外,輝瑞表示,其多晶型專利敗訴的機率為21%,這意味著仿製藥將於2028年上市,而這項預期目前已反映在該公司股價中。 加拿大皇家銀行維持對該股的「弱於大盤」評級,目標價為25美元。

Price: $27.77, Change: $+0.21, Percent Change: +0.74%

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