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加拿大皇家銀行表示,隨著暫時性拖累因素消退,加拿大經濟在2月維持成長動能。

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-- 加拿大皇家銀行(RBC)週四表示,隨著人口成長放緩,預計人均經濟成長將持續改善。同時指出,從季度來看,加拿大商業活動基本上符合其溫和擴張的基本預期,第一季GDP成長率略高於RBC自身預測的1.3%年化GDP增速,也高於加拿大央行在4月貨幣政策報告中預測的1.5%。 對於加拿大央行,RBC的基本預期保持不變。 RBC預計加拿大央行將在2026年剩餘時間內維持利率不變,但同時指出,央行在4月份的會議上表示,將密切關注剔除能源價格後的基本通膨指標的變化,以及中東持續衝突導致能源成本上漲對整體經濟成長的影響。 加拿大2月國內生產毛額較上季成長0.2%,與加拿大統計局的初步估計和RBC的預期相符。隨著1月汽車業的暫時性中斷逐漸消退,商品生產和服務業都對經濟成長做出了貢獻。製造業和批發貿易在汽車生產從先前的車型換代停產中恢復正常後出現反彈,零售業GDP成長0.2%,顯示消費者支出持續保持韌性。加拿大皇家銀行(RBC)指出,2月的疲軟主要集中在建築業、公共部門以及娛樂業的進一步下滑,後者是由於奧運期間NHL比賽停擺兩週所致。 展望未來,3月GDP的初步估計值「基本上保持不變」。 RBC表示,這些早期估計值極易被修正,但3月的早期指標表明,成長動能在第一季末保持穩定。 3月份,工作時長小幅成長0.2%,製造業初步銷售額成長3.5%-部分原因是油價上漲,但也與汽車生產的進一步復甦相符。 RBC指出,剔除石油及相關產品後,批發銷售額初步值也成長了1.3%。

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