-- 加拿大皇家銀行資本市場分析師週一在一份報告中指出,隨著大宗商品價格上漲,新的項目和合約機會湧現,加拿大能源基礎設施公司或將迎來更強勁的成長前景。 該機構表示,儘管許多公司在進入2026年時已呈現加速成長的態勢,但當前受地緣政治緊張局勢影響的定價環境,可能會釋放出更大的上漲空間。投資者預計將密切關注即將召開的財報電話會議,以尋找公司能否將價格上漲轉化為切實的長期項目和合約的信號。 「最終,我們相信市場將最看好那些擁有高知名度項目和/或合約、能夠掌握高商品價格環境機會的公司,」加拿大皇家銀行(RBC)分析師寫道。他們補充說,與液化石油氣(LPG)、液化天然氣(LNG)和石油基礎設施相關的機會可能會更加明朗。 近期商品價格和價差的上漲預計將推動獲利預期上調,尤其是在行銷相關領域。壓裂價差擴大、混合利潤率上升、裂解價差擴大、區域價格錯位都是促成因素。 儘管部分利潤率的提升可能只是暫時的,與中東衝突等地緣政治動盪有關,但加拿大皇家銀行強調,短期影響仍然顯著。更高的現金流將使公司能夠重新投資於成長計劃,從而支持長期擴張。 然而,對於公用事業公司而言,前景則更為複雜。與全球事件相關的通膨壓力加劇了人們對公用事業公司可負擔性的擔憂,並導致監管審查日益嚴格。投資者預計將尋求公用事業公司能夠確保獲利的保證。在不損害資產負債表或限制資產基礎成長的前提下,有效管理利率上漲。 在經歷了相對疲軟的年初開局後,預計2026年第一季的業績將超過先前的預期。加拿大皇家銀行(RBC)將這一轉變歸因於中東衝突(該衝突導致與原油價格相關的價差擴大,尤其是在3月份)以及1月和2月席捲北美中部和東部的極地渦旋(該渦旋推高了天然氣價格並使其波動加劇,同時提振了對管道輸送能力的需求)。 儘管部分價差同比有所下降,但預計這些因素將使整個行業中以行銷為導向的企業受益。
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