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加拿大皇家銀行表示,受能源價格反彈提振,加拿大3月通膨率上升,核心通膨壓力持續緩解。

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-- 加拿大皇家銀行(RBC)表示,3月加拿大整體消費者物價指數(CPI)較去年同期上漲2.4%,主要受中東衝突導致能源價格上漲的影響,但更廣泛的潛在通膨壓力顯示出進一步緩解的跡象。 該行在周一公佈CPI數據後指出,同比價格增長仍然受到稅收變化的嚴重扭曲。去年4月,加拿大大部分地區取消了消費者碳稅,這意味著能源價格同比漲幅低於預期;食品價格增速放緩主要是由於去年2月中旬結束的消費稅/統一銷售稅(GST/HST)免稅期,該免稅期人為地壓低了去年的餐飲價格。 相較之下,加拿大央行自身的核心通膨指標剔除了稅收變化以及能源價格波動的影響,該指標仍顯示潛在通膨勢頭正在降溫。 剔除住房等服務業的CPI(包括CPI-trim、CPI-median等)以三個月滾動平均值計算的年化漲幅為1.7%。加拿大央行指出,這標誌著潛在通膨壓力持續逐步緩解,且2026年迄今,較上月價格漲幅高於平常的產品佔比有所下降。 儘管部分項目,尤其是食品雜貨價格和租金,仍遠高於去年同期水準(約4%),但3月份的報告強化了加拿大皇家銀行的觀點,即近期油價上漲可能在短期內推高整體通膨,但不太可能重新引發更廣泛的通膨壓力。 加拿大央行將密切關注通膨預期,但核心物價成長放緩也讓央行有更大的彈性,可以同時關注當前依然疲軟、失業率居高不下的經濟環境。

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