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加拿大皇家銀行表示,受伊朗衝突和二疊紀盆地成長有限的影響,油價突破100美元,美國油氣勘探開發公司股價上漲。

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-- 加拿大皇家銀行資本市場(RBC Capital Markets)策略師週五在一份報告中指出,上周美國勘探與生產類股票上漲,原因是原油價格突破每桶100美元,中東衝突加劇了全球供應預期。 RBC分析師表示,石油類勘探與生產類股票上漲5%,天然氣類股票上漲2%,其中大股上漲5%,中小市值股票上漲3%。 XOP能源ETF上漲5%,與WTI原油價格上漲10%、亨利樞紐天然氣價格上漲6%的漲幅相符。 RBC表示,美國勘探與生產類公司第一季的獲利情況“略好於預期”,但同時指出,目前尚無跡象表明整個產業活動出現全面復甦。 該行指出,二疊紀盆地鑽井平台數量略有上升,但部分原因是天然氣外輸能力受限,而非鑽井活動普遍加速。 同時,全球原油市場受到持續的地緣政治風險支撐,包括外交努力陷入僵局以及對霍爾木茲海峽局勢持續動盪的擔憂。 加拿大皇家銀行(RBC)表示,有關該地區局勢可能升級的報告推高了風險溢價,並推高了與布蘭特原油價格掛鉤的市場情緒。 該銀行也強調,阿聯酋實際上退出歐佩克產能紀律後,全球供應動態發生了結構性變化,預計將使歐佩克的政策工具箱中大量剩餘產能消失。 加拿大皇家銀行表示,阿聯酋退出歐佩克將使沙烏地阿拉伯在維護市場穩定方面承擔更重的責任。

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