-- 加拿大帝國商業銀行（CIBC）表示，4月的整體通膨率為2.4%，其中未經季節性調整的季增0.9%，經季節性調整後較上季成長0.5%，略低於市場普遍預期的2.6%，但較上月的1.8%仍大幅上升。 該行在周一公佈消費者物價指數數據後指出，燃油價格（尤其是汽油價格）上漲是通膨加速的主要驅動因素。剔除能源價格後，5月的通膨率其實略有放緩。 CIBC表示，由於投資者減少了對加拿大央行今年升息的預期，債券殖利率在數據公佈後有所下降。 該行補充道，展望未來，汽油價格的進一步上漲將導致4月整體通膨率進一步攀升，甚至可能超過3%。因此，假設近期全球油價的部分回落能夠持續，通膨預計將略有降溫。此外，聯邦燃油消費稅的暫時中止也將在一定程度上起到幫助作用——這將使5月份的整體通膨率下降約0.2個百分點。 隨著機票價格等領域通膨傳導效應的跡象更加明顯，核心通膨指標在夏季幾個月可能會略有回升，但經濟內部持續的疲軟應能抑制國內驅動的服務業通膨，加拿大帝國商業銀行(CIBC)仍然認為加拿大央行將在2026年全年維持利率不變。
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