-- 加拿大帝國商業銀行(CIBC)表示,加拿大目前的就業市場並不十分強勁,但可能比官方數據顯示的要健康一些。 該銀行在一份致客戶的報告中指出,官方失業率包含了15至19歲在高中且積極求職的青少年,而這群人目前在總失業人數中所佔比例高於正常水平。 CIBC表示,許多高中生不應被歸類為失業人員,因為他們的主要精力都放在學習上。 如果將高中生排除在失業率計算之外,總失業率將從目前的6.7%降至6.2%。換句話說,如果不計入「失業」的高中生,加拿大的失業率會顯著降低。 CIBC指出,有些高中生必須工作來養活自己或家人,而這群人的人數難以精確統計。然而,在經濟衰退期間,真正需要工作的人更有可能繼續尋找工作,而那些工作並非必需的人則傾向於退出勞動市場。 這種模式在新冠疫情期間特別明顯,高中生的就業參與率下降幅度遠超過其他族群。 從政策角度來看,應重點關注既未入學也未參與勞動市場的青年,以及失業的非學生青年。目前,這一弱勢群體人數約為47萬,佔總人口的比例與2019年基本持平。 該銀行補充道,以上並非意圖淡化加拿大青年在勞動市場面臨的實際挑戰。儘管實際青年失業率可能低於官方數據,但仍高得令人無法接受。 此外,15至19歲族群勞動參與率的下降,雖然從宏觀經濟角度來看或許並非重大問題,但卻令人擔憂,因為這意味著更少的年輕人能夠獲得寶貴的就業市場經驗,而這些經驗對他們未來的發展大有裨益。 另一個重要因素是年輕人可獲得的就業機會的品質。加拿大帝國商業銀行(CIBC)指出,如果加拿大年輕人主要從事晉升機會有限的工作,那麼其負面影響可能比表面看起來更大。
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