-- 加拿大帝国商业银行(CIBC)表示,新冠疫情或许已成过往,但加拿大医疗保健成本持续对各省财政造成巨大影响。 该银行在一份致客户的报告中指出,医疗保健支出占总支出的40%以上,一直是最大的单项支出。然而,近期医疗保健支出的影响更为显著,过去五年中,医疗保健支出增长的一半以上都来自医疗保健支出。 此外,这些成本增长并非总是易于预测,医疗保健支出也占近期预算超支的50%以上。 医疗支出需求的增长通常被归咎于通货膨胀,包括医务人员工资上涨和人口增长。尽管中东冲突再次引发了人们对通胀压力的担忧,但人口增长的急剧放缓理论上应该会缓解医疗保健成本的压力。 然而,不幸的是,还有另一个可能更大的因素在推高成本,而且这种情况在好转之前还会恶化。加拿大帝国商业银行(CIBC)指出,人口老龄化导致医疗保健成本上升,因为65岁以上人群的人均医疗支出呈指数级增长。 CIBC表示,如果人口老龄化继续按预期发展,那么医疗保健成本的总体增长幅度可能会超过各省目前的预测。
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