-- 加拿大央行周一发布了第一季度《加拿大消费者预期调查》(CSCE)。 加拿大央行在一份声明中指出,在中东战争爆发后进行的一项特别调查结果显示,大多数家庭预计这场冲突将削弱加拿大经济并推高物价。 CSCE于2月5日至25日通过在线调查小组进行,当时伊朗战争尚未爆发。后续电话访谈于2月24日至3月2日进行。本季度发布的报告包含了3月26日至4月2日期间进行的一项特别调查的结果,该调查旨在了解中东战争如何影响消费者的观点和行为。 加拿大央行的调查发现,在第一季度,即中东战争爆发之前,由于担心物价高企和经济不确定性,消费者的支出计划依然低迷。不过,随着贸易紧张局势带来的下行压力有所缓解,消费者对支出计划的悲观情绪较上一季度有所改善。 消费者仍然认为劳动力市场疲软,对失业的担忧依然高涨。加拿大央行补充道,本季度,在人工智能可能造成工作岗位替代风险较高的行业,员工对失业的担忧有所加剧。 在中东战争爆发前,短期通胀预期基本保持不变,仍高于调查的历史平均水平。对食品价格通胀强劲的预期仍然是推高一年期通胀预期的重要因素。
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