-- 根據大溫哥華地產局 (REBGV) 的數據,加拿大國家銀行初步估計,經季節性調整後,3 月至 4 月的房屋銷售量下降了 2.6%,這是五個月以來的第四次下滑。 該銀行指出,因此,房屋交易量仍處於歷史低位,比歷史平均低 31.5%。 加拿大國家銀行指出,儘管加拿大央行在秋季降息,但溫哥華房地產市場短期內似乎沒有復甦跡象,這可能是由於持續存在的住房負擔能力問題、經濟不確定性以及最近的地緣政治動盪所致。 此外,該銀行觀察到的該地區過去一年勞動力市場的改善近期已完全消失,失業率從 2 月的 5.8% 飆升至 3 月的 6.8%,達到 12 個月以來的最高水平。 國家銀行表示,如果貿易關係改善且勞動市場趨於穩定,消費者信心的潛在提振可能會刺激住宅市場活動。然而,近期由於通膨上升導致固定抵押貸款利率上漲,可能會限制這種復甦。 在供應方面,該銀行估計,在經歷了三個月的萎縮之後,3月至4月的新掛牌房源數量增加了10.4%。儘管如此,當月活躍掛牌房源數量仍下降了0.7%,這可能是由於大量掛牌房源被取消所致。 國家銀行指出,總體而言,市場狀況(以活躍掛牌房源與銷售量的比率衡量)在當月有所放鬆,並且從歷史角度來看仍然非常寬鬆。
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