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加拿大国家银行预计加拿大央行首次加息将在2027年初,而市场预期加息将在今年12月进行。

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-- 加拿大国家银行表示,近几周来,市场对加拿大央行加息的预期持续缓和,目前反映出政策利率的路径更为合理。 该行指出,市场对加拿大央行首次加息的预期已基本确定在2026年12月。 加拿大国家银行预计首次加息将在2027年初实施,因此2026年12月加息可能仍为时过早。但如果经济能够像几个月前企业预期的那样复苏,加息就有可能实现。 该行表示,尽管受油价飙升的影响,整体通胀率有所上升,但周一公布的消费者价格指数报告显示,核心通胀压力相对温和。 因此,加拿大国家银行预计,在下周的利率决议中,加拿大央行将重申,将忽略此次整体通胀率的上升。

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