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加拿大国家银行称,近期加拿大平均时薪加速增长无需担忧

-- 加拿大国家银行表示,3月份的劳动力调查(LFS)证实,鉴于与美国的贸易紧张局势以及如今中东的地缘政治局势,加拿大的经济形势在当前高度不确定的经济环境下依然“脆弱”。如果中东局势陷入僵局,可能会使全球经济陷入衰退。 中东局势将在未来几个月推高通胀,尤其是油价上涨。但加拿大国家银行认为,在提高利率之前,应保持耐心。 加拿大国家银行指出,在这种不确定的环境下,货币政策似乎并不特别具有刺激作用,这体现在疲软的房地产市场活动、温和的信贷增长以及预计2026年将出现的抵押贷款偿还冲击。 此外,在石油危机爆发之前,通胀正朝着正确的方向发展,加拿大国家银行目前并不担心过去两个月观察到的平均时薪加速增长;3月份正式员工的工资同比增长5.1%,2月份同比增长4.2%。 事实上,加拿大统计局指出,在控制了构成因素后,所有雇员的平均时薪仅上涨了3.6%,与近几个月的水平持平。因此,鉴于加拿大国家银行认为劳动力市场仍然处于供过于求的状态,工资总额的上涨可能只是暂时的。

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