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加拿大国家银行称,温哥华房屋销售五个月内第四次下滑

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-- 根据大温哥华地产局 (REBGV) 的数据,加拿大国家银行初步估计,经季节性调整后,3 月至 4 月的房屋销售量下降了 2.6%,这是五个月以来的第四次下滑。 该银行指出,因此,房屋交易量仍然处于历史低位,比历史平均水平低 31.5%。 加拿大国家银行指出,尽管加拿大央行在秋季降息,但温哥华房地产市场短期内似乎没有复苏迹象,这可能是由于持续存在的住房负担能力问题、经济不确定性以及最近的地缘政治动荡所致。 此外,该银行观察到的该地区过去一年劳动力市场的改善近期已完全消失,失业率从 2 月的 5.8% 飙升至 3 月的 6.8%,达到 12 个月以来的最高水平。 国家银行表示,如果贸易关系改善且劳动力市场趋于稳定,消费者信心的潜在提振可能会刺激住宅市场活动。然而,近期由于通胀上升导致固定抵押贷款利率上涨,可能会限制这种复苏。 在供应方面,该银行估计,在经历了三个月的萎缩之后,3月至4月的新挂牌房源数量增长了10.4%。尽管如此,当月活跃挂牌房源数量仍下降了0.7%,这可能是由于大量挂牌房源被取消所致。 国家银行指出,总体而言,市场状况(以活跃挂牌房源与销售量的比率衡量)在当月有所放松,并且从历史角度来看仍然非常宽松。

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