-- 加拿大国家银行表示,虽然稳定的数据流使得追踪加拿大整体经济变得更加容易,但分析省级层面的增长却并非易事。 该银行指出,上周,加拿大统计局发布了首份按行业划分的省份国内生产总值(GDP)估算数据,概述了2025年的经济形势。 加拿大国家银行表示,毫无疑问,与美国的贸易冲突是影响2025年经济格局的最主要事件,加剧了各地区之间的经济差距。增长率最低的三个省份——魁北克省(0.6%)、安大略省(1.3%)和曼尼托巴省(1.3%)(而全国平均水平为1.6%)——都拥有比全国平均水平更高的制造业。 该银行指出,由于关税高于加拿大平均水平,制造业对这些省份的经济增长产生了负面影响。 魁北克省受制造业疲软的影响最为严重,因为它面临着全国最高的关税。 安大略省的制造业受到的负面影响相对较小,尽管其关税也几乎同样高——位居加拿大第二。然而,报告指出,这并未阻止安大略省经济表现不佳,尤其是由于人口增长率低于往年(0.3%,而全国平均水平为0.6%)。 加拿大国家银行表示,尽管2025年的经济将受到贸易冲突和人口结构变化的影响,但这两个因素也将继续影响今年的经济表现。
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