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加拿大丰业银行称,美伊停火后,除大宗商品外,其他市场均出现反弹。

-- 加拿大丰业银行表示,周三金融市场除大宗商品外,其余板块均出现上涨,此前美国和伊朗达成了为期两周的停火协议。 该行指出,仓位回补可能加剧了市场波动,并导致一定程度的过度反应。 该行指出,尽管油价波动剧烈,但已大幅下跌两位数百分比,不过期货曲线仍处于高位,且在2026-2027年期间价格将持续高于年初的现货价格。 加拿大丰业银行表示,这清楚地表明市场担忧:a) 在谈判前景不明朗的情况下,停火协议可能脆弱;b) 地缘政治风险溢价和基础设施可能遭受的长期损害。 股市普遍上涨,北美股指期货上涨约2%至3%,欧洲股指上涨3%至5%,亚太地区主要股指上涨3%至7%。 主权债券收益率普遍走低,其中欧元区政府债券表现最佳,各期限和各国债券收益率均下降了20至30个基点;而美国国债收益率仅上涨了5至7个基点;加拿大政府债券收益率在牛市行情中上涨了10个基点,加拿大丰业银行补充道。 该行表示,美元普遍走弱,但由于油价下跌,加元(CAD或加元)的表现略逊于其他货币。

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