-- 加拿大丰业银行表示,加拿大将于周四公布2月份的国内生产总值(GDP)数据以及3月份的初步估算数据。 加拿大统计局最初预测2月份GDP环比增长0.2%。该行指出,更新后的估算值仍与此大致相同,但投资者也能从中获得有关各行业驱动因素的重要细节。 丰业银行表示,3月份GDP的初步指引可能更有意义,尽管目前尚无详细信息,但小幅增长“并非不可能”。 最终结果将进一步影响基于月度GDP的生产/收入基础对第一季度GDP增长的预测。该行指出,实际增长率可能接近加拿大央行1月份货币政策报告中1.8%的预测值,但该预测值是基于支出基础的。第四季度GDP超过4%的库存拖累可能会逆转,成为额外的利好因素。 关键在于,根据零售销售量,第一季度消费者商品支出出现了强劲反弹。加拿大丰业银行补充道,认为经济对利率不敏感的观点是不成立的,这种观点主要是由于对多伦多和温哥华公寓市场疲软的原因存在错误理解而导致的。
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