-- 總體而言,野村證券週一發布的CPI報告顯示,伊朗戰爭帶來的能源價格壓力可能在未來幾個月內維持整體通膨高位,但加拿大潛在通膨軌跡基本上保持不變。 野村證券繼續預期加拿大央行將在2026年之前維持利率不變。 關於數據,野村證券指出,加拿大3月整體消費者物價指數年增2.4%,低於市場普遍預期的2.6%,但高於2月的1.8%,這主要反映了汽油價格的大幅上漲(季增21.2%)。 剔除汽油價格後,CPI年增2.2%,低於先前的2.4%。野村證券指出,消費稅/統一銷售稅減免政策的持續影響也對整體通膨構成壓力。 加拿大央行首選的核心指標較去年同期成長2.3%,而一系列其他核心指標也維持在央行1%至3%的目標區間。 房屋通膨率年增1.7%。租金通膨略有上升,而抵押貸款利息成本成長持續放緩。房屋更換成本下降,反映出住房需求疲軟。
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