-- 根據海關週二公佈的數據,中國3月貿易順差為511.3億美元。 根據Investing.com報道,這一數字低於2月的2,136.2億美元順差,也低於分析師先前預測的1,075億美元。 荷蘭國際集團(ING)分析師週二在報告中指出,以本幣計算,貿易順差年減4.8%。 荷蘭國際集團表示,以本幣計算的貿易順差下降也可能影響週四公佈的中國GDP數據。 海關數據顯示,3月出口年增2.5%,達3,210億美元。根據Investing.com通報,此增速低於先前預測的8.3%,也低於1-2月21.8%的增幅。 荷蘭國際集團(ING)分析師表示,對美出口年減14.6%,但預計未來幾個月降幅將有所緩解。 荷蘭國際集團表示:“由於預計來自美國的拖累將會緩解——假設沒有新的關稅衝擊(雖然不能完全排除這種可能性)——外部需求仍將是今年增長的重要驅動力。” 根據多家媒體報道,當月進口額年增27.8%至2,699億美元,超出預期,高於1-2月19.8%的增幅。 荷蘭國際集團分析師表示,進口激增主要歸因於科技產品價格上漲,這帶動了亞太其他地區「驚人的出口成長」。 分析師指出,中國半導體進口量較去年同期成長11%,進口額較去年同期成長45%。 荷蘭國際集團(ING)表示,該數據並未計入伊朗戰爭的影響,因為原油進口量較去年同期成長8.9%,但進口額較去年同期下降4.7%。 該行表示,未來幾個月能源價格上漲可能會進一步加速進口。 本季貿易順差達2643億美元。
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