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傑富瑞表示,Suncorp集團在新再保險結構下獲利穩定性提高。

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-- 傑富瑞(Jefferies)在4月24日的一份報告中指出,Suncorp集團(ASX:SUN)的新五年期綜合再保險計劃將降低其盈利波動性並提高資本效率,儘管增長預期已被小幅下調。 傑富瑞指出,這項將於6月30日生效的新再保險計劃每年提供8億澳元的巨災保障,五年內最高可達24億澳元,在約90%的情景下將自然災害成本控制在預算水平,並降低極端天氣造成的盈利波動。 這家股票研究公司表示,該公司修訂後的框架將其2027財年的自然災害準備金提高至18.5億澳元,並將其與風險敞口增長掛鉤,此前該公司在2026年上半年超支了4.53億澳元,但總體影響中性。 該研究機構指出,儘管與同行存在經濟差異,但該公司的基本保險交易比率預期仍穩定在10%至12%的區間上限,隨著巨災波動性的緩解,預計公佈的收益將更好地反映其基本業績。 該研究機構略微調整了其預測,由於紐西蘭的匯率影響,將毛保費收入增長率從3.8%下調至約3%,並更新了投資收益和估值假設,將預測期內的盈利預期調整為-3%至-1%。 傑富瑞維持對Suncorp集團的「持有」評級,並將目標價從16.50澳元上調至17.70澳元。

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