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傑富瑞稱,受樹脂成本上漲和需求疲軟的影響,安姆科再次下調業績預期。

-- 傑富瑞(Jefferies)週四發布的一份報告稱,由於樹脂成本上漲和消費者需求疲軟,安姆科(Amcor,ASX:AMC)的盈利預期在一個月內第二次被下調。報告指出,樹脂成本年增約15%至25%,該公司每年在聚乙烯和聚丙烯的投入成本高達50億至60億美元。傑富瑞預計,成本上漲的滯後影響將在未來幾季顯現,導致第四季利潤率顯著下降。 傑富瑞預計安姆科2026財年的每股收益約為3.94美元,低於該公司先前給出的4至4.15美元的預期以及市場普遍預期的4美元。此外,由於對需求和利潤率持更謹慎的態度,傑富瑞也將2027財年的獲利預期下調了約4%。 該公司強調了營運資金壓力,預計樹脂成本上漲將拖累2億美元,使2026財年的槓桿率達到約3.5倍。該公司也指出,如果樹脂價格進一步上漲10%,且全部轉嫁到營運資金上,槓桿率可能再增加約0.4倍。 該公司預計第三季息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)為9.36億美元,與市場預期一致;每股收益為0.927美元,略低於預期,主要原因是利息成本上升、銷量出現個位數下滑以及食品和日用品市場持續疲軟。 傑富瑞維持對安姆科的「買入」評級,並將目標價從75.27澳元下調至71.83澳元。

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