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伊朗宣布霍爾木茲海峽開放後,股市盤中反彈,油價暴跌。

-- 美國基準股指盤中上漲,而伊朗在黎巴嫩和以色列達成停火協議後宣布霍爾木茲海峽“完全開放”,導致油價暴跌。 週五午盤過後,道瓊工業指數上漲1.9%,至49,507.9點。那斯達克指數上漲1.4%,至24,447.8點,而標準普爾500指數上漲1.2%,至7,126.6點。這兩個指數在前一交易日均創下連續第二個交易日的歷史新高。 除能源和公用事業板塊外,週五盤中所有板塊均上漲,其中非必需消費品板塊領漲,漲幅達2.7%。 西德州中質原油下跌11%,至每桶84.20美元,而布蘭特原油下跌9%,至每桶90.44美元。 伊朗外長賽義德·阿巴斯·阿拉格奇週五在X平台上發帖稱:“根據黎巴嫩停火協議,霍爾木茲海峽對所有商船的通行在停火剩餘時間內完全開放。” 阿拉格奇表示,船舶必須按照伊朗港口和海事組織公佈的「協調航線」航行。 週四,美國總統川普表示,黎巴嫩和以色列已同意為期10天的停火,旨在暫停以色列與黎巴嫩真主黨(伊朗支持)之間的敵對行動。這是美伊和平談判中一個關鍵的癥結。 川普對海峽重新開放表示歡迎,但他同時在Truth Social網站上表示,美國對伊朗港口的封鎖將繼續,直到「我們與伊朗的交易100%完成」。 牛津經濟研究院在一份報告中指出:“伊朗允許恢復霍爾木茲海峽的通行可能是一個重要的轉折點,並可能成為我們上調經濟預測的催化劑,但不會立即生效。這一進展增加了達成更持久協議的可能性,從而降低了極端下行情景出現的可能性。” 達拉斯聯邦儲備銀行的研究人員在周五發表的一篇文章中表示,霍爾木茲海峽長達一個季度的關閉可能會使美國今年的通膨率上升0.6個百分點。 郵輪營運商和航空公司的股票盤中大幅上漲,其中皇家加勒比郵輪公司(RCL)上漲8.2%,成為標普500指數中表現最佳的股票,嘉年華郵輪公司(CCL)緊隨其後,上漲7.8%。聯合航空(UAL)上漲7.6%,西南航空(LUV)上漲6.5%,也名列該指數漲幅榜前。 美國公債殖利率盤中走低,10年期公債殖利率下跌6.3個基點至4.25%,2年期公債殖利率下跌7.8個基點至3.69%。 公司方面,Netflix (NFLX) 股價盤中下跌10%,成為標普500指數中表現第二差的股票。 這家串流媒體巨頭週四晚間公佈的第一季營收高於華爾街預期。然而,MoffettNathanson在周五的一份報告中指出,儘管Netflix放棄收購華納兄弟探索頻道 (WBD) 的交易本應有利於降低成本,但該公司仍維持利潤率預期,令投資者失望。 黃金價格上漲1.5%,至每盎司4,881.40美元;白銀價格上漲3.8%,至每盎司81.71美元。

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