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伊朗再次封锁霍尔木兹海峡,美元走强,金价下跌,收益率上升。

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-- 周一早盘,由于美元走强,金价下跌。此前,伊朗周五短暂开放后又关闭霍尔木兹海峡,引发了人们对通胀和利率上升的担忧,导致市场对结束伊朗战争的希望破灭,油价和美元也随之走高。 5月交割的黄金期货价格下跌54.90美元,至每盎司4824.70美元。 上周五,伊朗短暂重新开放霍尔木兹海峡,该海峡是波斯湾国家供应的全球20%石油需求的咽喉要道,受此影响,金价上涨。然而,由于美国拒绝解除对伊朗港口的封锁,伊朗随后再次拒绝允许船只通过该水道。 美国将派遣谈判代表前往巴基斯坦进行和平谈判,但据《卫报》报道,在美军周末在波斯湾击伤并扣押一艘伊朗货船后,伊朗没有参加谈判的计划。两国之间的停火协议将于明日到期,美国总统特朗普再次威胁称,除非达成协议,否则将攻击伊朗的民用基础设施。 海峡的关闭造成了有史以来最大的能源供应冲击,推高了原油、汽油和柴油的现货价格,并导致航空燃油普遍短缺,加剧了通胀,并引发了人们对各国央行可能需要提高利率以应对的担忧。 盛宝银行在一份致客户的报告中写道:“最近的疲软是由美元走强和对能源驱动型通胀的新担忧所驱动的。黄金和白银,像许多其他大宗商品一样,仍然对中东局势的发展高度敏感,因为中东局势的发展会对美元、债券收益率和美国利率预期产生连锁反应。” 美元早盘走强,ICE美元指数最新上涨0.14点至98.24点。美国国债收益率也走高,两年期美国国债收益率最新报3.739%,上涨2.7个基点;十年期美国国债收益率上涨1.5个百分点至4.266%。

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