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亞洲開發銀行將2026年GDP成長預期上調至4.6%

-- 亞洲開發銀行上調了對中國2026年經濟成長的預測,因為預計北京將重點扶持高科技產業。 根據週末發布的報告,亞銀將2026年中國國內生產毛額(GDP)成長速度設定為4.6%,高於先前預測的4.3%,但低於去年同期的5%。 受投資成長疲軟和家庭消費疲軟的影響,中國第一季GDP成長率為5.4%。 政府對高科技創新的支持預計將提振國內投資,同時仍需應對基礎設施和房地產領域投資疲軟的問題。亞銀也預測,出口將繼續支撐中國經濟成長,但成長速度將低於上年,因為中國正逐步將重心轉向非美國貿易夥伴。 亞銀預測,2027年中國GDP成長率將進一步放緩至4.5%。

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