FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

亞洲生物燃料最新動態:馬來西亞棕櫚油價格緊追在競爭對手之後

-- 週一,馬來西亞棕櫚油期貨價格小幅上漲,芝加哥和大連交易所的競爭對手大豆油價格也出現上漲,儘管出口疲軟。 馬來西亞衍生性商品交易所(Bursa Malaysia Derivatives)5月原棕櫚油合約上漲1.66%,至每噸4,529馬來西亞林吉特(1,144.84美元)。 6月合約上漲1.74%,至每噸4,565林吉特。 根據Phillip Capital和Trading Economics報告,貨運調查員估計,4月前20天馬來西亞的棕櫚油出貨量較上月下降了25.6%至25.8%。 價格報告機構Fastmarkets的分析顯示,由於近期產品成本和運費飆升,馬來西亞對大多數區域目的地的出口在4月上半月出現下降,其中對中東的出口降幅最大。 據該機構引用Intertek Testing Services的數據,4月1日至15日期間,出口量較上月下降324,724公噸至580,018公噸,主要原因是中東地區的出口量減少了114,650公噸。 據報道,對印度的出口量從150,600公噸減少至102,300公噸,而對中國的出口量則從67,550公噸減少至54,760公噸。 印度的採購量可能會在季節性需求到來之前反彈,但由於經濟狀況不佳,中國的進口量可能仍將面臨壓力。 中國價格報告機構MySteel表示,在中國,“國內進口利潤率仍然嚴重倒掛,導致船舶採購量很少,甚至有兩艘船取消了訂單,但港口庫存仍然很高。” MySteel表示,棕櫚油市場基本面整體走軟,出口下降而產量上升,形成「供過於求」的局面。 Fastmarkets指出,馬來西亞棕櫚油產量在第一季經歷季節性低點後預計將有所回升,這可能會限制國內庫存的下降。 儘管如此,如果原油價格持續走強,提振生質燃料需求,棕櫚油價格可能仍將得到支撐。 印尼計劃從7月1日起將生質柴油計畫的比例從目前的40%提高到50%,而馬來西亞正在努力將生質柴油比例從目前的10%提高到12%和15%,但具體時間表尚未確定。

Related Articles

Asia

Suncorp Group Sees Improved Earnings Stability Under New Reinsurance Structure, Jefferies Says

Suncorp Group (ASX:SUN) will benefit from reduced earnings volatility and improved capital efficiency following its new five-year aggregate reinsurance program, though growth forecasts have been modestly revised lower, Jefferies said in an April 24 note.Jefferies noted that the new reinsurance program, starting June 30, provides AU$800 million in annual catastrophe protection and up to AU$2.4 billion over five years, capping natural hazard costs at budgeted levels in about 90% of scenarios and reducing earnings volatility from extreme weather.The equity research firm said that the company's revised framework raises its fiscal 2027 natural hazard allowance to AU$1.85 billion and ties it to exposure growth following a AU$453 million first-half 2026 overrun, with the impact broadly neutral.The research firm stated that, despite differing economics from its peers, the company's underlying insurance trading ratio outlook remains steady at 10% to 12% at the top end of its range, with reported earnings expected to better reflect underlying performance as catastrophe volatility eases.The research firm slightly revised its forecasts, cutting gross written premium growth to about 3% from 3.8% due to foreign exchange effects in New Zealand and updating investment income and valuation assumptions, with earnings estimates adjusted within a range of negative 3% to 1% over the forecast period.Jefferies maintained a hold rating on Suncorp Group and raised the price target to AU$17.70 from AU$16.50.

$ASX:SUN
Asia

Fortescue Faces Pressure From Iron Bridge Weakness, Green Energy Shift, Jefferies Says

Fortescue (ASX:FMG) reported softer quarterly performance alongside ongoing challenges at Iron Bridge and increased spending on non-core green energy projects, raising concerns over returns and valuation, Jefferies said in an April 24 note.The company reported a softer quarter due to seasonal and weather impacts, with solid performance from its Pilbara hematite operations offset by ongoing underperformance at the Iron Bridge magnetite project, which continues to face throughput and margin challenges and may struggle to justify its value.Jefferies noted that the company's $680 million investment in green energy capacity for third-party customers, such as industrial users and data centers, represents a strategic shift, but views it as non-core capital allocation that may justify a higher discount rate for its mining business until clearer returns emerge.The equity research firm said that the company's Pilbara system is nearing port capacity constraints, a "good problem" that may allow higher-margin hematite production to displace costlier Iron Bridge volumes, as the company reviews its portfolio, trims Iron Bridge output, and keeps overall shipment guidance broadly unchanged.The research firm added that the company remains financially solid with $4.2 billion in cash despite dividends and capital expenditure outflows and is expected to return to a net cash position longer term, but highlighted Iron Bridge uncertainty and higher green energy spending as risks, including a potential write-down, supporting a cautious outlook.Jefferies maintained an underperform rating on Fortescue and reduced the price target to AU$16.50 from AU$17.50.

$ASX:FMG
Research

Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Otis Worldwide Corporation

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We cut our 12-month target to $90 from $100 following Q1 earnings, valuing OTIS shares at 19.6x our 2027 EPS outlook of $4.58 (down from $4.70; 2026 EPS view updated to $4.18 from $4.25), a modest discount to industrial machinery peers' and OTIS's five-year forward multiple average given unclear timing of ongoing margin headwinds. Service margins were disappointing in Q1 (contracting 160 bps to 23%) amid higher labor and material costs that came in above pricing. Weakness in China has yet to stabilize, though as noted in the past, this represents a shrinking area of OTIS's portfolio and will have a more limited effect going forward. Overall, the latest quarter was more of the same (China weakness/New Equipment decline), though with the added concern of margin quality being pressured within Service - the core profit driver for OTIS overall. While efforts to shore up profitability are underway, we see timing of recovery being uncertain.

$OTIS