-- 週四,馬來西亞棕櫚油期貨價格小幅上漲,出口疲軟被生物柴油摻混比例提高帶來的國內需求成長所抵消。 馬來西亞衍生性商品交易所5月原棕櫚油合約午盤上漲0.36%,至每噸4,442馬來西亞林吉特(1,123.70美元)。 6月合約小漲0.04%,至每噸4474林吉特。 據Trading Economics引述貨運調查機構的數據,4月上半月馬來西亞棕櫚油出貨量預計季減34%。 馬來西亞在棕櫚油參考價格上漲後,將5月的出口關稅從4月的9.5%提高到10%,此舉可能進一步削弱出口競爭力。 政府決定將生質柴油摻混比例從10%提高到12%,然後再提高到15%,這將提振國內需求。 然而,根據Oilworld報導,Sunvin集團大宗商品研究主管Anilkumar Bagani表示,由於交易員預期摻混比例至少會提高到20%,因此這一消息並未顯著提振市場情緒。 根據《星報》報道,馬來西亞棕櫚油局局長Ahmad Parveez表示,摻混比例首次提高2%可使生質柴油需求每年增加13萬噸,而接下來的3%增幅則可能再增加20萬噸。 Parveez告訴該通訊社,分階段實施的計劃是一種「穩健」的做法,旨在避免增加財政負擔,同時充分利用現有的摻混設施。 據報道,15%的摻混比例可吸收180萬噸原棕櫚油,相當於國內2000萬噸總產量的9%。 繼印尼計畫自7月1日起將生質柴油強制摻混比例從目前的40%提高到50%,以及泰國決定將生質柴油摻混比例從目前的5%提高到7%之後,馬來西亞也採取了類似措施。 據價格報告機構MySteel稱,市場已經消化了生物燃料使用量成長帶來的利好情緒。 該機構表示,由於出口量下降,而未來幾個月產量預計將會增加,「棕櫚油短期內預計將呈現區間震盪且走勢疲軟」。
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