-- 週三,馬來西亞棕櫚油期貨價格持穩或走低,近期原油價格下跌可能導致生質燃料需求疲軟,令市場情緒承壓。 馬來西亞衍生性商品交易所(Bursa Malaysia Derivatives)5月交割的棕櫚油期貨合約午盤交易中持平於每噸4420馬來西亞林吉特(1118.99美元)。 6月交割的合約下跌0.13%至每噸4460林吉特。兩份合約均在早盤觸及五個月低點。 價格報告機構MySteel表示:“國際原油價格走弱,棕櫚油生產國實施生物燃料政策的經濟基礎受到削弱。” 根據多家媒體通報,為確保柴油供應穩定,馬來西亞政府週二同意將生物柴油強制摻混比例從目前的10%提高到15%,並將分階段實施,首先使用現有生物柴油工廠生產12%的混合柴油。 該國目前強制要求交通運輸部門使用10%的生物柴油,並在部分省份推行了20%的生物柴油摻混比例。 馬來西亞的舉措緊接著印尼之後,印尼計畫從7月1日起將生質柴油摻混比例從目前的40%提高到50%,而泰國則決定將生質柴油摻混比例從目前的5%提高到7%。 泰國也收緊了棕櫚油出口管制,以促進國內供應。 然而,MySteel表示:“泰國限制棕櫚油出口的政策已經產生了不利影響,這反映出隨著原油價格走弱,未來棕櫚油供應收緊的預期可能會減弱。” 在馬來西亞,儘管近期期貨價格有所下跌,但5月份棕櫚油參考價格仍從4月份的每噸3935.19林吉特上調至每噸4521.89林吉特。出口關稅也相應地從9.5%提高到10%。 這可能會對馬來西亞的出口需求構成壓力。根據貨運調查員估計,4月前10天,馬來西亞的出口需求較上月下降了30.7%至38.9%。 印度買家為因應季節性需求而提前囤貨,這或許能帶來一些優良。 據印度溶劑萃取協會稱,由於價格高企,印度買家上個月削減了棕櫚油採購量,3月份進口量降至三個月來的最低點689,462公噸,而2月份為847,689公噸。
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