-- 周三,马来西亚棕榈油期货价格持稳或走低,近期原油价格下跌可能导致生物燃料需求疲软,令市场情绪承压。 马来西亚衍生品交易所(Bursa Malaysia Derivatives)5月交割的棕榈油期货合约午盘交易中持平于每吨4420马来西亚林吉特(1118.99美元)。6月交割的合约下跌0.13%至每吨4460林吉特。两份合约均在早盘触及五个月低点。 价格报告机构MySteel表示:“国际原油价格走弱,棕榈油生产国实施生物燃料政策的经济基础受到削弱。” 据多家媒体报道,为确保柴油供应稳定,马来西亚政府周二同意将生物柴油强制掺混比例从目前的10%提高到15%,并将分阶段实施,首先使用现有生物柴油工厂生产12%的混合柴油。 该国目前强制要求交通运输部门使用10%的生物柴油,并在部分省份推行了20%的生物柴油掺混比例。 马来西亚的举措紧随印尼之后,印尼计划从7月1日起将生物柴油掺混比例从目前的40%提高到50%,而泰国则决定将生物柴油掺混比例从目前的5%提高到7%。 泰国还收紧了棕榈油出口管制,以促进国内供应。 然而,MySteel表示:“泰国限制棕榈油出口的政策已经产生了不利影响,这反映出随着原油价格走弱,未来棕榈油供应收紧的预期可能会减弱。” 在马来西亚,尽管近期期货价格有所下跌,但5月份棕榈油参考价格仍从4月份的每吨3935.19林吉特上调至每吨4521.89林吉特。出口关税也相应地从9.5%提高到10%。 这可能会对马来西亚的出口需求构成压力。据货运调查员估计,4月前10天,马来西亚的出口需求环比下降了30.7%至38.9%。 印度买家为应对季节性需求而提前囤货,这或许能带来一些利好。 据印度溶剂萃取协会称,由于价格高企,印度买家上个月削减了棕榈油采购量,3月份进口量降至三个月来的最低点689,462公吨,而2月份为847,689公吨。
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