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亚洲生物燃料最新动态:受原油价格走弱和生物燃料经济形势影响,马来西亚棕榈油价格回落

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-- 原油价格暴跌削弱了生物燃料的经济效益,并拖累马来西亚棕榈油期货价格周四进一步下跌,尽管印尼和马来西亚不断扩大的生物柴油项目限制了跌幅。 继前一交易日价格下跌2.8%之后,马来西亚衍生品交易所6月原棕榈油合约在午盘交易中再次下跌1.19%,至每吨4493马来西亚林吉特(1149.25美元)。7月合约进一步下跌1.27%,至每吨4521林吉特。 本币走强也对价格构成压力,导致出口成本上升。周四,马来西亚林吉特兑美元汇率上涨0.43%。 印尼和马来西亚的出口市场近期疲软,主要原因是持续的冲突导致对中东的出口减少,以及印度的需求疲软。 据路透社援引经销商的话报道,近期棕榈油价格上涨提升了其他食用油的竞争力,印度买家更倾向于选择大豆油和葵花籽油而非棕榈油。 马来西亚棕榈油理事会首席执行官贝尔温德·斯隆表示,价格上涨也抑制了撒哈拉以南非洲和亚洲的需求,这些地区的买家在进口方面采取了更为谨慎的态度,并推迟采购直至价格恢复正常。 据报道,斯隆称,在中国,需求模式正从棕榈油转向棕榈油制品,这使得印尼相对于马来西亚更具竞争优势。 尽管如此,东南亚主要的棕榈油生产国已宣布计划加快生物柴油项目,以确保国内能源供应,这反过来又增加了各自对棕榈油的本地需求。 马来西亚将于6月起将棕榈油生物柴油的掺混比例从目前的10%提高到15%,而印尼将于7月起将这一比例从40%提高到50%。 据报道,马来西亚的这项举措每年将额外消耗30万吨棕榈油,约占该国棕榈油总产量的4%至5%,Sron认为这对出口市场的影响“有限”。 相反,Sron表示,印尼的举措预计每年将额外消耗150万吨棕榈油,这将显著收紧出口供应。 路透社援引分析师Dorab Mistry的话说,由于生物柴油需求不断增长,预计未来几个月棕榈油期货价格将保持强势,6月份价格可能达到每吨5000林吉特,7月中旬可能接近每吨5200林吉特。

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